“Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance”
Crypto hedge funds are part of a larger group of crypto funds, including those based on venture capital and private equity. Grouped together, there are currently 622 crypto funds across all categories, 303 of those being crypto hedge funds, which represent assets of less than $4 billion, according to the research. Half of the funds are based in the U.S., multiple launches have been seen in Australia, China, Malta, Switzerland, The Netherlands and the U.K. this 2018. 2017 was a great year to start a crypto hedge fund. Great returns.
Is it hard to perform in bull markets?
2018, on the other hand, has seen a significant downturn in many of the cryptocurrencies. Many of these coins make up a strong percentage of most of the crypto hedge funds. So called ‘diversified portfolios’, or ‘risk mediation in coin-bundles’ underperformed greatly. Investors money is still tight up, unless sold at loss. With YTD 2018 Returns of -56.78% investors consider alternative option within this disruptive, high growth technology space.
Average Crypto Hedge Fund returns
Historical Monthly Performance (%)
Cryptocurrencies are speculative in value.
Firstly, with a small overall market cap comes high volatility. Especially, when the average Joe and Jane is involved, mass-media influence FUD and FOMO at the same time. A report shows 'as coverage surged in mid-2017, however, articles expressing negative sentiment grew more common. This trend was fueled in part by grim prognostications from the likes of Warren Buffett and Mark Cuban, who guessed that “a bubble” was underway. In the wake of bitcoin’s market cap plunge in the final days of 2017, negative articles multiplied – with cryptocurrencies falling 34 percent in the first month of 2018, cautionary tales of vanished wealth were common.'
By now, most should know that the majority of token and coins stand and fall with Bitcoin performance due to strong correlations. Additionally, with an average of 50% of the total crypto market share, Bitcoin is certainly the dominant driver in overall behavior.
Furthermore, crypto is a young asset class and will likely continue to be volatile as it matures. Even the volatility of equities, currently at 13.4% from the VIX, is completely dwarfed by that of Bitcoin, coming in at 70% (down from 150% earlier in the year). Total market capitalization rose from $18.3B at the start of 2017 to $613B by the start of 2018 — over 3000% growth.
The market for cryptocurrencies is rapidly changing, presenting huge opportunities for investors, and in turn, investment managers. But, individuals looking to capitalize on the inefficiencies of the market by offering interests in actively managed hedge funds need to be wary of and disclose the associated risk.
Crypto Correlation Matrix
Volatility:12th Apr 2018 — A move of $1200 within an hour
Bitcoin Crashes (or bubble bursts or correction)
Some context for the know-it-all
Due to the 70-90% corrections from all-time highs in 2017, a majority of crypto funds will most likely not make any performance fee this year, despite their "complex hedging strategies" or automatically re-balanced functions.
"This means they have three (no, 4) options for the rest of the 2018 fiscal year. They can: 1) Raise New Capital, 2) Ride the market out and hope 2018 is better, 3) Close the fund" 4) or change strategy.
"Cryptocurrency cannot be analyzed in the same manner as traditional assets."
There is no physical item or stake in the startup or company to which the price is tied. The valuation of your token is based on the expectation of future demand, and is thus very susceptible to changes in sentiment.
Hedge funds are the most common type of digital asset fund, but venture capital crypto funds are launching quickly, and existing tech/FinTech VC firms are expanding investments into blockchain startups and launching their own blockchain funds. Investing in technology startups - instead of solely relying on price appreciation of existing crypto-assets - serving investors the most disruptive, high growth market, worth trillions in future.
#XCELASIA Venture Funds - an accelerator for fin-tech investments, incubation in Asia, also offering tech-deals from Silicon Valley, comprising of a Traditional VC Fund and a Digital Fund (blockchain) leveraging from emerging markets growth potential. Investors will be able to participate in a diverse portfolio of blockchain technology startups across the region that will bring about strategic and high impacts to the New Economies – from healthcare, industrial, robotics, transportation to food, agriculture, clean energy and education. THE Accelerator with cross-boarder strategic partners and co-investors, for technology startups within the most disruptive high growth market. The Digital Fund will invest in early stage blockchain and distributed ledger technologies (DLT) startups.
Source: Crypto Fund Research, Eurekahedge, Sifr Data, Alpaca Securities